Neighborhood · Ranked #3,427 of 84,120 nationally

Hollydale Eviction Risk: Elevated , Downey

Tract 06037553701 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,922 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 06037553701, in the Hollydale neighborhood of Downey eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,922. It lands near the 81st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,613 monthly, set against $70,833 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 30% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units928

Renter share55.7%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate13.2%

Median income$70,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downey and the region

Centroid at 33.9070, -118.1771 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hollydale scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Downey

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

13.2% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$1,613 rent vs county FMR

1.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Downey

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Downey

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Downey

7.3

How Hollydale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
19%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hollydale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.5%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
34.6%Food insecurity
28.2%SNAP enrollment
15.9%Transit barriers
24.0%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
38.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hollydale

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Downey eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Los Angeles County average of 6.5 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037553701

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037553701?

Census tract 06037553701 in the Hollydale neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037553701?

Median gross rent is $1,613/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037553701?

13.2% of residents in tract 06037553701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,922.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037553701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 76th, minority 97th, housing 54th.

Is tract 06037553701 considered part of Hollydale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037553701 fall within Hollydale (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037553701 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037553701 compare to Downey overall?

Tract 06037553701 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of Downey at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Downey eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037553701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Downey

Top eight tracts in Downey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.