Duarte Eviction Risk: Elevated

Average gross rent is $3,160, 50% above the Duarte average. It sits 2.4 points below the Los Angeles County average of 8.4. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Cost burden runs 41% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10.

The voucher gap is 20.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $135,250.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.