Normandie Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.7 to 9, a 3.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $2,037 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Pasadena commands.

Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Pasadena, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Bungalow Heaven and Washington Square.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $93,936. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 3.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.