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Neighborhood · Glendale, CA

Rancho San Rafael Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 12,883 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 7.7–7.7

Rancho San Rafael takes in 3 census tracts of Glendale, CA, population 12,883. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. 58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Glendale rate of 37.8%.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Average gross rent is $2,895, 33% above the Glendale average of $2,182. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.2/10.

Food insecurity affects 8.4% of adults, 9.4 points below the national rate. SNAP participation is 7.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 10.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Glendale, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third. At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Sparr Heights and Emerald Isle score within a fraction of it.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Rancho San Rafael vs Glendale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.1% +54%
Glendale: 37.8%
Average gross rent
$2,895 +33%
Glendale: $2,182
Average HH income
$141,599 +68%
Glendale: $84,262
Poverty rate
4.4% -67%
Glendale: 13.4%
Renter share
27.0% -58%
Glendale: 64.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rancho San Rafael and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 7.7–7.7

Why Rancho San Rafael scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Economic stress
4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–8.3 across tracts
6.0
Risk score comparison

Rancho San Rafael vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rancho San Rafael score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Rancho San Rafael: 7.77.7Rancho San RafaelNeighborhoodParent city: 9.19.1Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Rancho San Rafael?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 7.7 to 7.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Rancho San Rafael

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06037301000 7.7 5,552 50% $2,190
06037300901 7.7 5,285 71% $3,402
06037300902 7.7 2,046 48% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rancho San Rafael

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rancho San Rafael

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rancho San Rafael?

Rancho San Rafael scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rancho San Rafael compare to Glendale overall?

Rancho San Rafael scores 1.4 points lower than Glendale overall (9.1/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $2,895 vs $2,182.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rancho San Rafael?

Average gross rent in Rancho San Rafael is $2,895/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rancho San Rafael residents are renters?

27% of Rancho San Rafael households are renter-occupied (vs 65% in Glendale). The neighborhood has 12,883 residents.
Q5

Is Rancho San Rafael a high social-vulnerability area?

Rancho San Rafael sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rancho San Rafael have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rancho San Rafael is census tract 06037301000 (score 7.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.7 to 7.7, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Rancho San Rafael for landlords?

Rancho San Rafael carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Glendale as a whole (9.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rancho San Rafael?

Rancho San Rafael has 13,064 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.5%), Hispanic / Latino (12.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rancho San Rafael

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Glendale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rancho San Rafael.

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