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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Santa Monica Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06037701302 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 4,829 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 8.3/10, tract 06037701302 in the Downtown Santa Monica area of Santa Monica, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 32% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,825
Renter share70.7%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$108,101

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Downtown Santa Monica
High
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 19 tracts In Santa Monica
Elevated
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#1,577 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Low
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#3,143 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Monica and the region

Centroid at 34.0274, -118.4978 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Santa Monica scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Santa Monica
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,368 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santa Monica
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santa Monica
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santa Monica
5.7

How Downtown Santa Monica compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Santa Monica risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.38.3This tracttract 701302Santa Monica: 9.19.1Santa Monicaparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Santa Monica. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Santa Monica

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10. SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.7% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #6,330 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 55% of renters. It tracks the Los Angeles County average of 8.4 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037701302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037701302?

Census tract 06037701302 in the Downtown Santa Monica neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037701302?

Median gross rent is $2,368/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037701302?

10.3% of residents in tract 06037701302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,829.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037701302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 5th, minority 37th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 06037701302 considered part of Downtown Santa Monica?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037701302 fall within Downtown Santa Monica (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037701302 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037701302 compare to Santa Monica overall?

Tract 06037701302 scores 8.3/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Monica at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Monica; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06037701302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Monica

Top eight tracts in Santa Monica ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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