Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Santa Monica Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06037701302 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 4,829 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 06037701302 in the Downtown Santa Monica area of Santa Monica ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,829 residents. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,368 a month against an average household income of $108,101 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 71% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 32% Owners 29%

Tract context

Occupied units2,825

Renter share70.7%

SVI overall0.26

Poverty rate10.3%

Median income$108,101

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Monica and the region

Centroid at 34.0274, -118.4978 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Santa Monica scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Monica

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.3% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$2,368 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Monica

5.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Monica

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Monica

5.7

How Downtown Santa Monica compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

33%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
99%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Santa Monica. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.8%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
7.9%Food insecurity
7.5%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
3.7%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
22.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Santa Monica

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Santa Monica, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Los Angeles County average of 6.5 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037701302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037701302?

Census tract 06037701302 in the Downtown Santa Monica neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037701302?

Median gross rent is $2,368/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037701302?

10.3% of residents in tract 06037701302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,829.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037701302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 5th, minority 37th, housing 58th.

Is tract 06037701302 considered part of Downtown Santa Monica?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037701302 fall within Downtown Santa Monica (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037701302 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037701302 compare to Santa Monica overall?

Tract 06037701302 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Monica at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Monica; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037701302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Monica

Top eight tracts in Santa Monica ranked by composite eviction-risk score.