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Neighborhood · Santa Monica, CA

Downtown Santa Monica Eviction Risk: High

5 census tracts · pop 26,135 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.3/10 · range 7.7–9.9

Downtown Santa Monica spans 5 census tracts of Santa Monica, CA and houses 26,135 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.3/10, in the High tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Santa Monica rate of 27.5%. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.7 to 9.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. 21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.7/10. 3.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Food insecurity affects 8.0% of adults, 9.8 points below the national rate.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Santa Monica, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third. Average gross rent runs $2,379, close to the Santa Monica average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $118,433.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.3
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Santa Monica vs Santa Monica How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.8% +41%
Santa Monica: 27.5%
Average gross rent
$2,379 -1%
Santa Monica: $2,402
Average HH income
$118,433 +8%
Santa Monica: $109,739
Poverty rate
10.9% -6%
Santa Monica: 11.6%
Renter share
72.5% +1%
Santa Monica: 72.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Santa Monica and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 7.7–9.9

Why Downtown Santa Monica scores 8.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
73% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
10.9% below poverty line · Range 1.4–5.0 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–4.4 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Downtown Santa Monica vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Santa Monica score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown Santa Mon: 8.38.3Downtown Santa MonNeighborhoodParent city: 9.19.1Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Santa Monica?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.2 points from 7.7 to 9.9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Downtown Santa Monica

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06037701402 9.9 6,179 41% $2,476
06037701302 8.3 4,829 55% $2,368
06037701304 7.7 6,285 33% $2,471
06037701501 7.7 5,058 30% $2,277
06037701502 7.7 3,784 36% $2,215
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Santa Monica

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown Santa Monica

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Santa Monica?

Downtown Santa Monica scores 8.3/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Santa Monica compare to Santa Monica overall?

Downtown Santa Monica scores 0.8 points lower than Santa Monica overall (9.1/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,379 vs $2,402.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Santa Monica?

Average gross rent in Downtown Santa Monica is $2,379/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Santa Monica residents are renters?

73% of Downtown Santa Monica households are renter-occupied (vs 72% in Santa Monica). The neighborhood has 26,135 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Santa Monica a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Santa Monica sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown Santa Monica have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Santa Monica is census tract 06037701402 (score 9.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.7 to 9.9, a spread of 2.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown Santa Monica for landlords?

Downtown Santa Monica carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.3/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Santa Monica as a whole (9.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Santa Monica?

Downtown Santa Monica has 26,576 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.1%), Hispanic / Latino (15.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Santa Monica

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Santa Monica

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Santa Monica.

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