Skip to content
Santa Monica, California eviction risk overview

Santa Monica, CA Eviction Risk: VERY HIGH

Los Angeles County · Population 91,169

In 2026
Risk score
9.9
VERY HIGH

100th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average4.1 Now9.9
10 5 1976 · score 1.7 1977 · score 1.7 1978 · score 1.8 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.9 1985 · score 1.9 1986 · score 1.9 1987 · score 1.9 1988 · score 2.2 1989 · score 2.3 1990 · score 2.4 1991 · score 2.4 1992 · score 3.1 1993 · score 3.1 1994 · score 3.2 1995 · score 3.1 1996 · score 3.2 1997 · score 3.2 1998 · score 3.3 1999 · score 3.4 2000 · score 3.5 2001 · score 3.7 2002 · score 3.8 2003 · score 3.8 2004 · score 3.8 2005 · score 3.9 2006 · score 4.0 2007 · score 4.1 2008 · score 4.8 2009 · score 4.9 2010 · score 5.0 2011 · score 5.1 2012 · score 5.2 2013 · score 5.3 2014 · score 5.4 2015 · score 5.5 2016 · score 6.0 2017 · score 6.3 2018 · score 6.5 2019 · score 6.8 2020 · score 7.6 2021 · score 7.6 2022 · score 7.6 2023 · score 7.6 2024 · score 7.3 2025 · score 6.2 2026 · score 9.9

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.5 Regional 7.5 State 6.8 Economic 6.6 Supply 9.7 Rent Control 5.6 Eviction 6.5 Tenant 9.8 Housing 5.7 9.9 VERY HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +32.9% (2024)
    7.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.5
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    11.6% poverty · 6.1% unemp.
    6.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,402 average · 72.1% renters
    9.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    27.5% of income on rent
    5.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    286 days filing → judgment
    6.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    72.1% renters
    9.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Monica and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Santa Monica compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Los Angeles County
Very High
#8 of 144 cities
Rank in county, 95th percentileBottomTop
#8 of 144 cities in Los Angeles County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Very High
#10 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state, 99th percentileBottomTop
#10 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Santa Monica risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Santa Monica: 9.99.9Santa MonicaThis cityCounty: 8.38.3Countyavg in countyState: 7.27.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 9.9
    / 10 · VERY HIGH
    The verdict

    A Very high-tier market.

    Composite 9.9/10. Among the 10% riskiest markets nationally, with heavy tenant exposure, so every notice, hearing, and lease termination needs an attorney in the loop. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+8.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 286d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,402/mo. A contested eviction takes 286 days and costs $16,797-$32,452 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 72.1%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 91,169 residents, 72.1% rent. 28% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 11.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.5 and 7.5 (Dem margin +32.9% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.5, housing court bias 5.7, rent-control risk 5.6. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.6. Supply constraint: 9.7. The numbers behind those: 11.6% poverty, 6.1% unemployment, 28% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Santa Monica sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Los Angeles, CA · 273d · ~$22.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 10 Los Angeles Long Beach, CA · 291d · ~$26.4k all-in ($91/day) · score 7.5 Long Beach Anaheim, CA · 258d · ~$23.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 5.3 Anaheim Santa Ana, CA · 282d · ~$25.2k all-in ($90/day) · score 9.2 Santa Ana Irvine, CA · 274d · ~$24.7k all-in ($90/day) · score 5.1 Irvine Santa Clarita, CA · 249d · ~$22.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 6.5 Santa Clarita Oxnard, CA · 253d · ~$24.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 9.2 Oxnard Huntington Beach, CA · 291d · ~$23.0k all-in ($79/day) · score 5.2 Huntington Beach Glendale, CA · 255d · ~$26.3k all-in ($103/day) · score 5.4 Glendale Garden Grove, CA · 277d · ~$26.3k all-in ($95/day) · score 5.3 Garden Grove Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Santa Monica
Santa Monica · 286d · ~$24.6k all-in ($86/day) · score 9.9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Santa Monica, CA

Landlording in Santa Monica, California, presents one of the toughest environments for property owners in the nation. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.9/10 (VERY HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Among the toughest 10% of US markets where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Santa Monica is a city of 91,169 residents where 72.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 27.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,402/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Santa Monica eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Santa Monica closes 286 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Santa Monica's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Santa Monica runs $16,797 to $32,452 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 286 days of typical timeline and $2,402/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.8/10 in Santa Monica, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Santa Monica: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $32,452 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Santa Monica

Trap · 72.1%
72.1% renter share against 91,169 residents produces roughly 65,742 rental occupants in Santa Monica. Los Angeles County voted D 44.2% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is the biggest mistake landlords make in Santa Monica evictions?

The biggest mistake is trying to handle the eviction process themselves or delaying legal action. Santa Monica's system is complex, with strong tenant protections and specific procedural requirements. An incorrectly served notice or a missed deadline can restart the entire process, costing you months of lost rent and thousands in additional legal fees. Get an attorney involved early.

Q2

How long does a non-payment eviction really take in Santa Monica?

While a 3-day notice is the first step, the entire process, from that notice to regaining possession, typically takes 286 days. This includes court processing times, potential tenant defenses, and scheduling delays. This is significantly longer than in many other parts of the country.

Q3

Can I just change the locks if a tenant stops paying rent?

Absolutely not. Changing locks, turning off utilities, or removing a tenant's belongings are illegal "self-help" evictions in California. These actions can lead to severe penalties, including fines and civil lawsuits from the tenant, potentially costing you far more than a proper eviction process.

Q4

Is "cash for keys" a legitimate strategy in Santa Monica?

Yes, "cash for keys" is a very legitimate and often recommended strategy in Santa Monica. Given the high costs and long timelines of a formal eviction (averaging $16,797-$32,452 and 286 days), offering a tenant a few thousand dollars to vacate voluntarily can save you significant money and time. Always get the agreement in writing.

Q5

What are the rules for security deposits in Santa Monica?

In Santa Monica, your security deposit cap is 1.00 month's rent. You must return the deposit or provide an itemized statement of deductions within 21 days after the tenant moves out. Failure to comply can result in forfeiting your right to deduct for damages and potentially owing the tenant damages.

Q6

Do I need a "just cause" to evict a tenant in Santa Monica?

Yes, California law, including for Santa Monica, requires a "just cause" for eviction for tenants who have lived in the property for 12 months or more. This means you cannot evict a tenant without a specific, legally recognized reason, such as non-payment of rent, breach of lease, or owner move-in. No-cause terminations are generally not permitted.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 9.9/10 places Santa Monica in the 100th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.