Downtown Santa Monica Eviction Risk: High

Cost burden runs 41% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County. 85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $82,459, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.