Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Santa Monica Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06037701502 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,784 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

06037701502 is a census tract in the Downtown Santa Monica area of Santa Monica, CA. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,784. Cost burden runs 36% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 56% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,960
Renter share88.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$115,260

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Downtown Santa Monica
Very Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 19 tracts In Santa Monica
Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#1,770 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Low
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#4,025 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Monica and the region

Centroid at 34.0255, -118.4872 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Santa Monica scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Santa Monica
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,215 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santa Monica
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santa Monica
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santa Monica
5.7

How Downtown Santa Monica compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Santa Monica risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 701502Santa Monica: 9.19.1Santa Monicaparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Santa Monica. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Santa Monica

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037701502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037701502?

Census tract 06037701502 in the Downtown Santa Monica neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037701502?

Median gross rent is $2,215/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037701502?

5.6% of residents in tract 06037701502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,784.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037701502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 17th, minority 55th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 06037701502 considered part of Downtown Santa Monica?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037701502 fall within Downtown Santa Monica (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037701502 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037701502 compare to Santa Monica overall?

Tract 06037701502 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Monica at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Monica; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06037701502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 50% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Monica

Top eight tracts in Santa Monica ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related