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Neighborhood · Merced, CA

Bellview Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,933 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10 · range 7.1–7.1

Bellview Ranch is a one-tract neighborhood of Merced, CA and houses 4,933 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.1/10, in the Elevated tier. roughly one in eight of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well under the Merced rate of 32.7%.

Average gross rent is $2,601, 87% above the Merced average of $1,393. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 72.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

11% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bellview Ranch vs Merced How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
11.2% -66%
Merced: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$2,601 +87%
Merced: $1,393
Average HH income
$93,707 +56%
Merced: $59,938
Poverty rate
18.8% -18%
Merced: 23.0%
Renter share
34.1% -37%
Merced: 54.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellview Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.1–7.1

Why Bellview Ranch scores 7.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
11% of income on rent · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 9.4–9.4 across tracts
9.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Economic stress
18.8% below poverty line · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Bellview Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bellview Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.1Bellview RanchNeighborhood7.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bellview Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06047001007 7.1 4,933 11% $2,601
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 15%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bellview Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bellview Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bellview Ranch?

Bellview Ranch scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bellview Ranch compare to Merced overall?

Bellview Ranch scores 0.5 points lower than Merced overall (7.6/10). Renters spend 11% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,601 vs $1,393.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bellview Ranch?

Average gross rent in Bellview Ranch is $2,601/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bellview Ranch residents are renters?

34% of Bellview Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Merced). The neighborhood has 4,933 residents.
Q5

Is Bellview Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Bellview Ranch sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bellview Ranch for landlords?

Bellview Ranch carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Merced as a whole (7.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bellview Ranch?

Bellview Ranch has 5,137 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (38.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bellview Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Merced

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bellview Ranch.

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