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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Natividad Eviction Risk: High , Salinas

Tract 06053000400 · Monterey, CA · pop 8,338 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 06053000400 sits in the Natividad area of Salinas eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. It is home to 8,338 residents. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 26% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,379
Renter share68.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$65,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Natividad
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 34 tracts In Salinas
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 103 tracts In Monterey
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salinas and the region

Centroid at 36.6929, -121.6499 · click any tract to drill in

Why Natividad scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salinas
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,951 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salinas
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salinas
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salinas
7.0

How Natividad compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Natividad risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 000400Salinas: 7.97.9Salinasparent cityCounty: 7.27.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Natividad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Natividad

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Against the Monterey County average of 7.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $65,295, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 62% here against 51.7% across Monterey County. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.

Food insecurity runs 31.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 27.6% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06053000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06053000400?

Census tract 06053000400 in the Natividad neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06053000400?

Median gross rent is $1,951/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06053000400?

19.2% of residents in tract 06053000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,338.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06053000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 79th, minority 90th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 06053000400 considered part of Natividad?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06053000400 fall within Natividad (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06053000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06053000400 compare to Salinas overall?

Tract 06053000400 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Salinas at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salinas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salinas

Top eight tracts in Salinas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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