Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

Natividad Eviction Risk: High , Salinas

Tract 06053010607 · Monterey, CA · pop 4,475 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 06053010607 sits in the Natividad area of Salinas eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.8/10. It is home to 4,475 residents. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 22% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units926
Renter share62.1%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$81,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Natividad
Moderate
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 34 tracts In Salinas
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 103 tracts In Monterey
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#2,111 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salinas and the region

Centroid at 36.6930, -121.6145 · click any tract to drill in

Why Natividad scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salinas
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,932 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salinas
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salinas
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salinas
7.0

How Natividad compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Natividad risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.88.8This tracttract 010607Salinas: 7.97.9Salinasparent cityCounty: 7.27.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Natividad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Natividad

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.1% against 11.3% nationally. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Monterey County average of 51.7%.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Monterey County average of 7.2. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,932, close to the Salinas average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06053010607

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06053010607?

Census tract 06053010607 in the Natividad neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06053010607?

Median gross rent is $1,932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06053010607?

17.5% of residents in tract 06053010607 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,475.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06053010607?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 76th, minority 98th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 06053010607 considered part of Natividad?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06053010607 fall within Natividad (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06053010607 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06053010607 compare to Salinas overall?

Tract 06053010607 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Salinas at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salinas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salinas

Top eight tracts in Salinas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related