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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Natividad Eviction Risk: High , Salinas

Tract 06053000502 · Monterey, CA · pop 4,974 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

06053000502 is a census tract in the Natividad area of Salinas, CA. It scores 9.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,974. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 12% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,191
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate24.2%
Median income$68,431

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Natividad
High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 34 tracts In Salinas
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 103 tracts In Monterey
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salinas and the region

Centroid at 36.6844, -121.6343 · click any tract to drill in

Why Natividad scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salinas
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.2% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,804 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salinas
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salinas
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salinas
7.0

How Natividad compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Natividad risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 000502Salinas: 7.97.9Salinasparent cityCounty: 7.27.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Natividad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Natividad

Against Monterey County at 51.7%, about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Against the Monterey County average of 7.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 26.8% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Housing insecurity runs 27.9% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,804 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Salinas commands. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06053000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06053000502?

Census tract 06053000502 in the Natividad neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06053000502?

Median gross rent is $1,804/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06053000502?

24.2% of residents in tract 06053000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,974.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06053000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 86th, minority 94th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 06053000502 considered part of Natividad?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06053000502 fall within Natividad (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06053000502 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06053000502 compare to Salinas overall?

Tract 06053000502 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Salinas at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salinas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salinas

Top eight tracts in Salinas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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