Neighborhood · Orange, CA

Santiago Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 15,485 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 2.8–4.7

Santiago Creek is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Orange with 4 census tracts and a population of 15,485 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 70% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,341/month sits 42% lower than the Orange citywide average ($2,327).

Risk score

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Santiago Creek vs Orange How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

70.3% +121%

Orange: 31.8%

Average gross rent

$1,341 -42%

Orange: $2,327

Average HH income

$140,985 +21%

Orange: $116,945

Poverty rate

9.6% +5%

Orange: 9.2%

Renter share

31.6% -27%

Orange: 43.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santiago Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 2.8–4.7

Why Santiago Creek scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

70% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.9 across tracts

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

32% renter households · Range 3.2–8.4 across tracts

6.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.2 across tracts

6.1

Economic stress

9.6% below poverty line · Range 1.1–3.1 across tracts

2.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–5.0 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Santiago Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Santiago Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.9 points from 2.8 to 4.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.7 4.2 3.4 2.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Santiago Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06059075812	4.7	6,201	75%	$2,325
06059075811	4.2	3,249	50%	$1,956
06059075809	3.4	3,179	78%	—
06059075810	2.8	2,856	75%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 42%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 64%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 47%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Santiago Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.7%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility shutoff threat
14.8%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
9.3%No health insurance
28.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Santiago Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Santiago Creek?

Santiago Creek scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Santiago Creek compare to Orange overall?

Santiago Creek scores 3.5 points lower than Orange overall (7.5/10). Renters spend 70% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,341 vs $2,327.

What is the average rent in Santiago Creek?

Average gross rent in Santiago Creek is $1,341/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Santiago Creek residents are renters?

32% of Santiago Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Orange). The neighborhood has 15,485 residents.

Is Santiago Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Santiago Creek sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Santiago Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Santiago Creek is census tract 06059075812 (score 4.7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.8 to 4.7, a spread of 1.9 points.

How safe is Santiago Creek for landlords?

Santiago Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Orange as a whole (7.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Santiago Creek?

Santiago Creek has 15,545 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.7%), Hispanic / Latino (35.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Santiago Creek

4 Olive 3 tracts · pop 16,230 3.4 Panorama Heights 8 tracts · pop 39,591 4.9 Fairbridge Square 5 tracts · pop 27,700 4.9 Anaheim Hills 5 tracts · pop 23,659 5.1 OC Vibe 5 tracts · pop 28,897 5.4 Lincoln/Glassell 6 tracts · pop 28,092

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Orange

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Santiago Creek.

4 Olive 3 tracts · pop 16,230 3.7 Cowan Heights 1 tracts · pop 5,954 4.5 North El Modena 1 tracts · pop 5,410 3.5 Orange Park Acres 1 tracts · pop 3,012 3.3 Panorama Heights 8 tracts · pop 39,591 4.9 Fairbridge Square 5 tracts · pop 27,700

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