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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Santiago Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orange

Tract 06059075812 · Orange, CA · pop 6,201 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Eviction risk in the Santiago Creek area of Orange centers on tract 06059075812, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 6,201 residents. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

75% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,325 a month against an average household income of $96,780 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 12% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,873
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$96,780

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Santiago Creek
Very High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 28 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#283 of 613 tracts In Orange
Moderate
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#6,078 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange and the region

Centroid at 33.8080, -117.8287 · click any tract to drill in

Why Santiago Creek scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orange
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,325 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orange
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orange
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orange
6.0

How Santiago Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Santiago Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 075812Orange: 7.57.5Orangeparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Santiago Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Santiago Creek

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orange eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059075812

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059075812?

Census tract 06059075812 in the Santiago Creek neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059075812?

Median gross rent is $2,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059075812?

10.0% of residents in tract 06059075812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,201.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059075812?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 70th, minority 71th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 06059075812 considered part of Santiago Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059075812 fall within Santiago Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059075812 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059075812 compare to Orange overall?

Tract 06059075812 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Orange at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orange

Top eight tracts in Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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