4 census tracts · pop 12,838 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10
· range 6–8
Saratoga Ranch takes in 4 census tracts of East Hemet, CA, population 12,838. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.6/10, in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 37%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Against a East Hemet baseline of 36.3%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6 to 8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.7/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 23.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,674, close to the East Hemet average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $79,843.
34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Saratoga Ranch vs East HemetHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Saratoga Ranch
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.0%Housing insecurity
11.6%Utility shutoff threat
26.1%Food insecurity
24.2%SNAP enrollment
14.7%No health insurance
39.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Saratoga Ranch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Saratoga Ranch?
Saratoga Ranch scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Saratoga Ranch compare to East Hemet overall?
Saratoga Ranch scores 1.0 points higher than East Hemet overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,674 vs $1,655.
Q3
What is the average rent in Saratoga Ranch?
Average gross rent in Saratoga Ranch is $1,674/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Saratoga Ranch residents are renters?
34% of Saratoga Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in East Hemet). The neighborhood has 12,838 residents.
Q5
Is Saratoga Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?
Saratoga Ranch sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Saratoga Ranch have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Saratoga Ranch is census tract 06065043314 (score 8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 8, a spread of 2 points.
Q7
How safe is Saratoga Ranch for landlords?
Saratoga Ranch carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to East Hemet as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Saratoga Ranch?
Saratoga Ranch has 12,674 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (51.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (40.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
