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Neighborhood · East Hemet, CA

Saratoga Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 12,838 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10 · range 5.4–6.9

Saratoga Ranch is a hispanic-white neighborhood in East Hemet with 4 census tracts and a population of 12,838 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 37% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,674/month sits 1% higher than the East Hemet citywide median ($1,655).

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Saratoga Ranch vs East Hemet How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.4% +28%
East Hemet: 36.3%
Average gross rent
$1,674 +1%
East Hemet: $1,655
Average HH income
$79,843 -1%
East Hemet: $80,621
Poverty rate
20.3% +11%
East Hemet: 18.3%
Renter share
34.0% +12%
East Hemet: 30.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saratoga Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.4–6.9

Why Saratoga Ranch scores 6.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Economic stress
20.3% below poverty line · Range 1.3–6.6 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–3.7 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Saratoga Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Saratoga Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Saratoga Ranch: 6.46.4Saratoga RanchNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 6.66.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Saratoga Ranch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 5.4 to 6.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Saratoga Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065043311 6.9 2,390 75% $2,000
06065043310 6.8 3,674 60% $1,460
06065043314 6.5 4,236 35% $1,685
06065043315 5.4 2,538 19% $1,659
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 82%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Saratoga Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Saratoga Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Saratoga Ranch?

Saratoga Ranch scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Saratoga Ranch compare to East Hemet overall?

Saratoga Ranch scores 0.4 points higher than East Hemet overall (6.0/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Median rent: $1,674 vs $1,655.

Q3

What is the average rent in Saratoga Ranch?

Median gross rent in Saratoga Ranch is $1,674/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Saratoga Ranch residents are renters?

34% of Saratoga Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in East Hemet). The neighborhood has 12,838 residents.

Q5

Is Saratoga Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Saratoga Ranch sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Saratoga Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Saratoga Ranch is census tract 06065043311 (score 6.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 6.9 — a spread of 1.5 points.

Q7

How safe is Saratoga Ranch for landlords?

Saratoga Ranch carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to East Hemet as a whole (6.0/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Saratoga Ranch?

Saratoga Ranch has 12,674 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (51.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (40.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Saratoga Ranch

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