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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Summerly Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lake Elsinore

Tract 06065046403 · Riverside, CA · pop 7,941 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

06065046403 is a census tract in the Summerly area of Wildomar, CA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 35% here against 53.8% across Riverside County.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 15% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,204
Renter share23.5%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$94,803

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Summerly
Very Low
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 tracts In Lake Elsinore
High
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#289 of 518 tracts In Riverside
Moderate
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#6,341 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Elsinore and the region

Centroid at 33.6273, -117.3081 · click any tract to drill in

Why Summerly scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Elsinore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,913 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Elsinore
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Elsinore
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Elsinore
6.5

How Summerly compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Summerly risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 046403Lake Elsinore: 6.66.6Lake Elsinoreparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Summerly. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Summerly

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.9/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10. Food insecurity runs 24.8% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Riverside County average of 6.6 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,913, close to the Wildomar average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $94,803.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06065046403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06065046403?

Census tract 06065046403 in the Summerly neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06065046403?

Median gross rent is $1,913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06065046403?

11.6% of residents in tract 06065046403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,941.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06065046403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 72th, minority 80th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 06065046403 considered part of Summerly?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06065046403 fall within Summerly (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06065046403 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06065046403 compare to Lake Elsinore overall?

Tract 06065046403 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Lake Elsinore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Elsinore; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Elsinore

Top eight tracts in Lake Elsinore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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