2 census tracts · pop 19,630 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10
· range 6.4–7.2
Summerly is a 2-tract neighborhood of Lake Elsinore, CA and houses 19,630 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.9/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Lake Elsinore baseline of 35.5%, 48% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. At $1,654 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Lake Elsinore commands.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. That places it #2 of 5 neighborhoods in Lake Elsinore.
At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Pinnacle and Terra Cotta score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $94,187.
With little internal variation, 6.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Summerly vs Lake ElsinoreHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Summerly
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
20.5%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility shutoff threat
24.0%Food insecurity
20.5%SNAP enrollment
14.2%No health insurance
36.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Summerly
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Summerly?
Summerly scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Summerly compare to Lake Elsinore overall?
Summerly scores 0.3 points higher than Lake Elsinore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,654 vs $2,078.
Q3
What is the average rent in Summerly?
Average gross rent in Summerly is $1,654/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Summerly residents are renters?
25% of Summerly households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Lake Elsinore). The neighborhood has 19,630 residents.
Q5
Is Summerly a high social-vulnerability area?
Summerly sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Summerly have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Summerly is census tract 06065043001 (score 7.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.4 to 7.2, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Summerly for landlords?
Summerly carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Elsinore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Summerly?
Summerly has 20,535 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (59.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
