Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Elder Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Sacramento

Tract 06067004802 · Sacramento, CA · pop 5,271 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Elder Creek in Sacramento anchors census tract 06067004802, which lands at 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 88th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,535 monthly, set against $61,667 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 25% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,466

Renter share51.4%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate17.7%

Median income$61,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sacramento and the region

Centroid at 38.4996, -121.4190 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elder Creek scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Sacramento

6.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

17.7% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$1,535 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Sacramento

7.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Sacramento

8.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Sacramento

7.4

How Elder Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elder Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.3%Housing insecurity
11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
27.9%Food insecurity
26.1%SNAP enrollment
13.9%Transit barriers
14.0%No health insurance
19.4%Frequent mental distress
36.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elder Creek

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sacramento eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sacramento County average of 6.3 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Asian and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06067004802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06067004802?

Census tract 06067004802 in the Elder Creek neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06067004802?

Median gross rent is $1,535/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06067004802?

17.7% of residents in tract 06067004802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,271.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06067004802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 82th, minority 89th, housing 96th.

Is tract 06067004802 considered part of Elder Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06067004802 fall within Elder Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06067004802 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06067004802 compare to Sacramento overall?

Tract 06067004802 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Sacramento at 9.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sacramento eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sacramento

Top eight tracts in Sacramento ranked by composite eviction-risk score.