5 census tracts · pop 22,822 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.8/10
· range 7.8–9.3
Elder Creek spans 5 census tracts of Sacramento, CA, population 22,822. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.8/10, placing it in the High tier. Cost burden runs 52% against 32.8% citywide, putting Elder Creek 19.4% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10.
Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 8.1/10. The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 7.8 to 9.3, a 1.5-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.9/10.
The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 27.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 29.1% of adults, 11.3 points above the national rate. At $1,586 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Sacramento commands.
Among the 34 mapped neighborhoods of Sacramento, it ranks #5 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $70,417.
45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
8.8
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
Elder Creek vs SacramentoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elder Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
21.7%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility shutoff threat
29.6%Food insecurity
28.0%SNAP enrollment
14.7%No health insurance
36.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Elder Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Elder Creek?
Elder Creek scores 8.8/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Elder Creek compare to Sacramento overall?
Elder Creek scores 0.9 points higher than Sacramento overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,586 vs $1,779.
Q3
What is the average rent in Elder Creek?
Average gross rent in Elder Creek is $1,586/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Elder Creek residents are renters?
45% of Elder Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Sacramento). The neighborhood has 22,822 residents.
Q5
Is Elder Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Elder Creek sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Elder Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Elder Creek is census tract 06067004801 (score 9.3/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.8 to 9.3, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Elder Creek for landlords?
Elder Creek carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.8/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sacramento as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Elder Creek?
Elder Creek has 23,645 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (38.7%), Hispanic / Latino (33.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
