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Alexandria, Virginia eviction risk overview
Ranked #740 of 1,865 nationally

Alexandria, VA Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Alexandria city · Population 156,976

In 2026
Risk score
4.6
MODERATE

100th percentile, Virginia.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average2.9 Now4.6
5.9 1.7 1976 · score 2.2 1977 · score 2.2 1978 · score 2.2 1979 · score 2.2 1980 · score 2.2 1981 · score 2.2 1982 · score 2.2 1983 · score 2.1 1984 · score 1.9 1985 · score 1.9 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 1.7 1989 · score 1.7 1990 · score 1.7 1991 · score 1.8 1992 · score 2.4 1993 · score 2.4 1994 · score 2.4 1995 · score 2.4 1996 · score 2.6 1997 · score 2.5 1998 · score 2.5 1999 · score 2.6 2000 · score 2.5 2001 · score 2.6 2002 · score 2.6 2003 · score 2.5 2004 · score 2.5 2005 · score 2.5 2006 · score 2.5 2007 · score 2.6 2008 · score 3.2 2009 · score 3.4 2010 · score 3.5 2011 · score 3.5 2012 · score 3.5 2013 · score 3.5 2014 · score 3.5 2015 · score 3.5 2016 · score 3.7 2017 · score 3.8 2018 · score 3.8 2019 · score 3.9 2020 · score 5.7 2021 · score 5.9 2022 · score 5.0 2023 · score 4.7 2024 · score 4.7 2025 · score 4.7 2026 · score 4.6

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.0 Regional 7.5 State 6.0 Economic 5.5 Supply 7.0 Rent Control 3.5 Eviction 5.5 Tenant 6.5 Housing 5.5 4.6 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +57.7% (2024)
    8.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.5
  3. State political climate
    Virginia legislature & governorship
    6.0
  4. Economic stress
    8.4% poverty · 3.4% unemp.
    5.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,089 average · 57.9% renters
    7.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    28.3% of income on rent
    3.5
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    58 days filing → judgment
    5.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    57.9% renters
    6.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Alexandria compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Alexandria city
Very High
#1 of 2 cities
Rank in county, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 cities in Alexandria city for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Virginia
Very High
#3 of 683 cities
Rank in state, 100th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 683 cities in Virginia for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Alexandria risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Alexandria: 4.64.6AlexandriaThis cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.6
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.6/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.4 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 58d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,089/mo. A contested eviction takes 58 days and costs $1,839–$5,648 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 57.9%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 156,976 residents, 57.9% rent. 28% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8 and 7.5 (Dem margin +57.7% (2024)). State climate at 6, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 6/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 5.5, housing court bias 5.5, rent-control risk 3.5. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +0.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.5. Supply constraint: 7. The numbers behind those: 8.4% poverty, 3.4% unemployment, 28% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Alexandria sits in the slow but cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Arlington, VA · 57d · ~$4.2k all-in ($73/day) · score 4.6 Arlington Centreville, VA · 51d · ~$3.6k all-in ($70/day) · score 3.4 Centreville Dale City, VA · 49d · ~$3.8k all-in ($78/day) · score 3.7 Dale City Reston, VA · 50d · ~$3.8k all-in ($76/day) · score 3.4 Reston Virginia Beach, VA · 50d · ~$3.9k all-in ($79/day) · score 3.8 Virginia Beach Chesapeake, VA · 54d · ~$3.9k all-in ($72/day) · score 3.6 Chesapeake Norfolk, VA · 53d · ~$3.7k all-in ($70/day) · score 4.5 Norfolk Richmond, VA · 55d · ~$3.5k all-in ($64/day) · score 4.7 Richmond Newport News, VA · 52d · ~$4.1k all-in ($79/day) · score 4.3 Newport News Hampton, VA · 52d · ~$3.9k all-in ($75/day) · score 4.3 Hampton Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Alexandria
Alexandria · 58d · ~$3.7k all-in ($65/day) · score 4.6 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Alexandria, VA

Landlording in Alexandria, Virginia, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.6/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Alexandria is a city of 156,976 residents where 57.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 28.3% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,089/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Alexandria eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 5.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Alexandria closes 58 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Alexandria's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Alexandria runs $1,839 to $5,648 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 58 days of typical timeline and $2,089/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 6.5/10 in Alexandria, and the city has limited rent control exposure (3.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Virginia, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Alexandria: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Virginia's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $5,648 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Alexandria

Trap · LEGAL SERVICES OF NORTHERN VIRGINIA
The Alexandria GDC has been more tenant-attentive than typical Northern Virginia courts on procedural compliance. Legal Services of Northern Virginia staffs Alexandria intake actively.
Trap · VA. CODE 36-96.3 (2020)
State context: Va. Code 36-96.3 (2020) statewide source-of-income protection applies. Dillon Rule preempts most municipal innovation. Alexandria has pushed the envelope where state law allows (most notably with the Old Town historic district housing-stock preservation requirements). The Amazon HQ2 spillover into Alexandria has driven specific rental-demand pockets in the Crystal City / National Landing corridor since 2021.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, state-level (no county tracker available). Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 10,534 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline). Past 12 months: 139,873 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 643,855.

  • 10,534Past month
  • 139,873Past 12 months
  • 1.07×vs baseline (past mo)
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $36.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 11,279 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 11,871 filings (1.01× hist)2023-07-01: 11,681 filings (1.01× hist)2023-08-01: 11,916 filings (1.00× hist)2023-09-01: 11,466 filings (1.00× hist)2023-10-01: 12,415 filings (1.00× hist)2023-11-01: 10,388 filings (0.96× hist)2023-12-01: 11,234 filings (1.04× hist)2024-01-01: 12,658 filings (1.00× hist)2024-02-01: 12,400 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 10,487 filings (0.95× hist)2024-04-01: 10,082 filings (1.02× hist)2024-05-01: 11,419 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 11,744 filings (1.00× hist)2024-07-01: 11,546 filings (0.99× hist)2024-08-01: 11,845 filings (1.00× hist)2024-09-01: 11,560 filings (1.00× hist)2024-10-01: 12,537 filings (1.01× hist)2024-11-01: 11,255 filings (1.04× hist)2024-12-01: 10,429 filings (0.96× hist)2025-01-01: 14,590 filings (1.15× hist)2025-02-01: 10,161 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 11,563 filings (1.04× hist)2025-04-01: 10,358 filings (1.05× hist)2025-05-01: 11,904 filings (1.05× hist)2025-06-01: 10,882 filings (0.92× hist)2025-07-01: 13,152 filings (1.13× hist)2025-08-01: 11,685 filings (0.98× hist)2025-09-01: 11,970 filings (1.04× hist)2025-10-01: 12,965 filings (1.04× hist)2025-11-01: 10,193 filings (0.94× hist)2025-12-01: 10,630 filings (0.98× hist)2026-01-01: 12,943 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 11,303 filings (1.01× hist)2026-03-01: 11,712 filings (1.06× hist)2026-04-01: 10,534 filings (1.07× hist)
Filings dropped 12% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Alexandria for no reason?

No, not exactly "no reason." If you have a month-to-month lease, you can terminate the tenancy by providing a 30-day written notice without needing to state a specific "cause." However, for a fixed-term lease, you generally cannot evict a tenant before the lease ends unless they violate a term of the lease (like non-payment of rent or property damage).

Q2

How long does an eviction usually take in Alexandria, VA?

On average, a contested eviction in Alexandria takes about 58 days from the initial notice to the final lockout. This can vary significantly based on court schedules, how quickly the tenant is served, and whether the tenant requests continuances or appeals.

Q3

What are the biggest mistakes landlords make during an eviction?

The most common mistakes include improper notice (wrong dates, amounts, or service methods), accepting partial rent payments after a notice is issued (which can nullify the notice), attempting "self-help" evictions (like changing locks or shutting off utilities, which is illegal), and not being prepared with all necessary documentation in court.

Q4

Do I need a lawyer to evict a tenant in Alexandria?

While you can represent yourself in Virginia General District Court, it's highly recommended to use an attorney, especially for your first eviction or if the tenant is uncooperative. The legal process has strict rules, and a small error can cause significant delays and added costs. Given the typical eviction cost range, a good attorney can often save you money in the long run.

Q5

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the court grants me possession?

If the court grants you an Order of Possession and the tenant still won't leave, you must then apply for a Writ of Possession from the court. This is the order that authorizes the sheriff to physically remove the tenant and their belongings. You cannot remove them yourself; it must be done by law enforcement.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.6/10 places Alexandria in the 100th percentile of Virginia cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.