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Census Tract · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Apple Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06071009717 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 4,153 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Apple Valley

Eviction risk in Apple Valley centers on tract 06071009717, which scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,153 residents. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

76% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,389 a month while the average household earns $82,857 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 5% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,542
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$82,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 18 tracts In Apple Valley
Moderate
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#171 of 466 tracts In San Bernardino
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#3,404 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#9,878 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 34.5200, -117.2617 · click any tract to drill in

Why Apple Valley scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
8.0

How Apple Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Apple Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 009717Apple Valley: 7.97.9Apple Valleyparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Apple Valley

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apple Valley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Bernardino County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071009717

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071009717?

Census tract 06071009717 in Apple Valley scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06071009717?

Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071009717?

15.4% of residents in tract 06071009717 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,153.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071009717?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 54th, minority 63th, housing 15th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06071009717 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06071009717 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 06071009717 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Apple Valley at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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