Apple Valley Eviction Risk: High

Against San Bernardino County at 53.3%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.9/10. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $34,404, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Housing insecurity runs 33.1% against 14.2% nationally. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the San Bernardino County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Average gross rent is $1,281, 11% below the Apple Valley average. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.