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Census Tract · Ranked #1,608 of 84,120 nationally

Apple Valley Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06071009727 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 4,748

Here is how census tract 06071009727, in Apple Valley, looks to a landlord: a 7.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,748. That is riskier than about 98% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 75% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,281 monthly, set against $34,404 in average yearly household income, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 81% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 61% Stable renters 20% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,499
Renter share80.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate39.7%
Median income$34,404

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 18 tracts In Apple Valley
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 466 tracts In San Bernardino
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#676 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
National
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#1,608 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 34.5369, -117.2168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Apple Valley scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
39.7% poverty · this tract
9.9
Supply constraint
$1,281 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
8.0

How Apple Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Apple Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.28.2This tracttract 009727Apple Valley: 7.97.9Apple Valleyparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Apple Valley

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apple Valley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Bernardino County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 21.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071009727

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071009727?

Census tract 06071009727 in Apple Valley scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06071009727?

Median gross rent is $1,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071009727?

39.7% of residents in tract 06071009727 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,748.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071009727?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 92th, minority 86th, housing 42th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06071009727 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06071009727 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 06071009727 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Apple Valley at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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