Apple Valley Eviction Risk: High

SNAP participation runs 42.9% against 15.2% nationally. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.9/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.2 points above the San Bernardino County average of 6.8.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $1,256, 13% below the Apple Valley average.

Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.