Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073002602 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,923 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06073002602 in the Little Mogadishu area of San Diego, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,923 residents. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 27% Owners 21%

Tract context

Occupied units1,359

Renter share78.4%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate20.8%

Median income$58,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7358, -117.0973 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Mogadishu scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

20.8% poverty · this tract

5.2

Supply constraint

$1,958 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Little Mogadishu compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
9%Grade C
91%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Mogadishu. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.8%Housing insecurity
12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
32.3%Food insecurity
30.3%SNAP enrollment
15.5%Transit barriers
18.2%No health insurance
19.7%Frequent mental distress
33.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Mogadishu

Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 52.5% across San Diego County. It sits 2.3 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $58,417, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.8/10. Food insecurity runs 32.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.8% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,958 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of San Diego commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073002602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073002602?

Census tract 06073002602 in the Little Mogadishu neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073002602?

Median gross rent is $1,958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073002602?

20.8% of residents in tract 06073002602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,923.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073002602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 96th, minority 89th, housing 83th.

Is tract 06073002602 considered part of Little Mogadishu?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073002602 fall within Little Mogadishu (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073002602 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073002602 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073002602 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073002602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 91% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.