Skip to content
Neighborhood · San Diego, CA

Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High

14 census tracts · pop 68,238 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.8/10 · range 9–9.9

Little Mogadishu takes in 14 census tracts of San Diego, CA and houses 68,238 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 9.8/10, High tier. 62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the San Diego rate of 32.4%.

The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $64,473 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is a renter market: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

Average gross rent is $1,773, 23% below the San Diego average of $2,313. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. SNAP participation is 29.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

That places it #6 of 89 neighborhoods in San Diego.

With little internal variation, 9.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.8
High
14 tracts · population-weighted
Little Mogadishu vs San Diego How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.9% +91%
San Diego: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$1,773 -23%
San Diego: $2,313
Average HH income
$64,473 -38%
San Diego: $104,321
Poverty rate
21.7% +95%
San Diego: 11.1%
Renter share
70.5% +34%
San Diego: 52.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Mogadishu and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 14 tracts span score 9–9.9

Why Little Mogadishu scores 9.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
71% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
21.7% below poverty line · Range 2.1–9.2 across tracts
5.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Little Mogadishu vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Little Mogadishu score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Little Mogadishu: 9.89.8Little MogadishuNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Little Mogadishu?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.9 points from 9 to 9.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

14 tracts in Little Mogadishu

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073002601 9.9 6,477 50% $1,702
06073002302 9.9 5,925 75% $1,529
06073002804 9.9 5,598 66% $2,143
06073002707 9.9 5,410 56% $1,583
06073002501 9.9 5,181 52% $1,825
06073002602 9.9 4,923 66% $1,958
06073002708 9.9 4,665 67% $1,556
06073002402 9.9 4,634 74% $1,623
06073002705 9.9 4,359 81% $1,883
06073002709 9.9 3,842 56% $1,508
06073002710 9.9 3,603 58% $1,564
06073002803 9.7 4,999 58% $2,092
06073002702 9.3 5,584 58% $2,018
06073002301 9 3,038 47% $1,670
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 14 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Little Mogadishu

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Little Mogadishu

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Little Mogadishu?

Little Mogadishu scores 9.8/10 (High tier) across 14 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Little Mogadishu compare to San Diego overall?

Little Mogadishu scores 1.2 points higher than San Diego overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,773 vs $2,313.
Q3

What is the average rent in Little Mogadishu?

Average gross rent in Little Mogadishu is $1,773/month (pop-weighted across 14 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Little Mogadishu residents are renters?

71% of Little Mogadishu households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 68,238 residents.
Q5

Is Little Mogadishu a high social-vulnerability area?

Little Mogadishu sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Little Mogadishu have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Little Mogadishu is census tract 06073002601 (score 9.9/10). Across the 14 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9 to 9.9, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Little Mogadishu for landlords?

Little Mogadishu carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.8/10). Pop-weighted across 14 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Little Mogadishu?

Little Mogadishu has 68,103 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Little Mogadishu

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Diego

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Little Mogadishu.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further