Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
The Knolls of Calavera Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oceanside
Tract 06073019803 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,210 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
06073019803 is a census tract in the The Knolls of Calavera Hills area of Carlsbad, CA. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,384
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$107,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oceanside and the region
Centroid at 33.1753, -117.3082 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Knolls of Calavera Hills scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oceanside
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,619 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oceanside
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oceanside
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oceanside
6.1
How The Knolls of Calavera Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Knolls of Calavera Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Knolls of Calavera Hills
Cost burden runs 63% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Average gross rent is $2,619, close to the Carlsbad average.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $107,813. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073019803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073019803?
Census tract 06073019803 in the The Knolls of Calavera Hills neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073019803?
Median gross rent is $2,619/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073019803?
12.2% of residents in tract 06073019803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,210.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073019803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 72th, minority 54th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 06073019803 considered part of The Knolls of Calavera Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073019803 fall within The Knolls of Calavera Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073019803 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073019803 compare to Oceanside overall?
Tract 06073019803 scores 7.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Oceanside at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oceanside eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oceanside
Top eight tracts in Oceanside ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Poinsettia
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
South Oceanside
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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