Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Pavoreal Eviction Risk: Elevated , Carlsbad

Tract 06073020033 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,603 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 6.7/10, tract 06073020033 in the Pavoreal area of Carlsbad, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,603. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 20% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units1,624

Renter share42.5%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate9.3%

Median income$115,682

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region

Centroid at 33.1011, -117.2486 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pavoreal scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.3% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$2,850 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Carlsbad

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Carlsbad

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.1

How Pavoreal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pavoreal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.7%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.1%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
23.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pavoreal

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6.

Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 52% of renters. Average gross rent is $2,850, close to the Carlsbad average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $115,682.

43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020033

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020033?

Census tract 06073020033 in the Pavoreal neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073020033?

Median gross rent is $2,850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020033?

9.3% of residents in tract 06073020033 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,603.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020033?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 45th, minority 56th, housing 33th.

Is tract 06073020033 considered part of Pavoreal?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020033 fall within Pavoreal (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073020033 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073020033 compare to Carlsbad overall?

Tract 06073020033 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad

Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.