Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Poinsettia Eviction Risk: Elevated , Carlsbad
Tract 06073020031 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,855 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 6.6/10, tract 06073020031 in the Poinsettia area of Carlsbad, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,855. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,225
Renter share31.8%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$119,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region
Centroid at 33.1203, -117.2373 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poinsettia scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,321 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlsbad
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlsbad
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.1
How Poinsettia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Poinsettia
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.
Average gross rent is $2,321, 17% below the Carlsbad average. It sits 1.0 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $119,681.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073020031
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020031?
Census tract 06073020031 in the Poinsettia neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073020031?
Median gross rent is $2,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020031?
9.4% of residents in tract 06073020031 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,855.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020031?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 68th, minority 47th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 06073020031 considered part of Poinsettia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020031 fall within Poinsettia (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073020031 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073020031 compare to Carlsbad overall?
Tract 06073020031 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad
Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
The Knolls of Calavera Hills
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
South Oceanside
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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