Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Park Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073007601 · San Diego, CA · pop 1,923 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 06073007601 sits in the Bay Park area of San Diego eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.8/10. It is home to 1,923 residents. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.7/10.

Risk score

8.8

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 28% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,035

Renter share51.5%

SVI overall0.06

Poverty rate10.9%

Median income$93,785

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7728, -117.2173 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Park scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.9% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$1,934 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Bay Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

6%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
19%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
2%Grade B
4%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.5%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
8.3%Food insecurity
7.7%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
21.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Park

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. It sits 1.2 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.

46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,934, 16% below the San Diego average.

SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073007601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073007601?

Census tract 06073007601 in the Bay Park neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073007601?

Median gross rent is $1,934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073007601?

10.9% of residents in tract 06073007601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,923.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073007601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 3th, minority 19th, housing 45th.

Is tract 06073007601 considered part of Bay Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073007601 fall within Bay Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073007601 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073007601 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073007601 scores 8.8/10, right in line with the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073007601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.