Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High , San Diego
Tract 06073002402 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,634 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
06073002402 is a census tract in the Little Mogadishu area of San Diego, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,634 residents. Cost burden runs 74% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across San Diego and the region
Centroid at 32.7468, -117.1052 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Mogadishu scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Little Mogadishu compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Mogadishu. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.4%Housing insecurity
- 14.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.1%Food insecurity
- 37.4%SNAP enrollment
- 18.4%Transit barriers
- 20.5%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 37.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Little Mogadishu
35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 37.4% against 15.2% nationally.
91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Food insecurity runs 38.1% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 2.3 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $54,944, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
At $1,623 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of San Diego commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 06073002402
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073002402?
What is the average rent in tract 06073002402?
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073002402?
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073002402?
Is tract 06073002402 considered part of Little Mogadishu?
What share of households in tract 06073002402 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 06073002402 compare to San Diego overall?
Was tract 06073002402 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in San Diego
Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.