Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #1,608 of 84,120 nationally

Shelltown Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073003502 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,917 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is the Shelltown neighborhood of San Diego for landlords? Census tract 06073003502 scores 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,625 a month against an average household income of $43,807 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 30% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,203
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate26.2%
Median income$43,807

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 13 tracts In Shelltown
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#676 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.6986, -117.1135 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shelltown scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
26.2% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,625 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Shelltown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shelltown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.28.2This tracttract 003502San Diego: 8.78.7San Diegoparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shelltown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shelltown

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Diego eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Diego County average of 5.8 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 56% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073003502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003502?

Census tract 06073003502 in the Shelltown neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073003502?

Median gross rent is $1,625/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003502?

26.2% of residents in tract 06073003502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,917.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 79th, minority 99th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 06073003502 considered part of Shelltown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073003502 fall within Shelltown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073003502 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073003502 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073003502 scores 8.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073003502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 56% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related