Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073002705 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,359 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 06073002705 covers part of the Little Mogadishu area of San Diego, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,359 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 8% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units1,514

Renter share42.4%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate19.0%

Median income$75,703

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7339, -117.0836 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Mogadishu scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

19.0% poverty · this tract

4.7

Supply constraint

$1,883 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Little Mogadishu compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
21%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Mogadishu. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.4%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
23.8%Food insecurity
21.4%SNAP enrollment
11.2%Transit barriers
10.4%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
31.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Mogadishu

Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 81% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 2.3 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.5/10.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

At $1,883 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of San Diego commands. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073002705

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073002705?

Census tract 06073002705 in the Little Mogadishu neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073002705?

Median gross rent is $1,883/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073002705?

19.0% of residents in tract 06073002705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,359.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073002705?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 92th, minority 87th, housing 73th.

Is tract 06073002705 considered part of Little Mogadishu?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073002705 fall within Little Mogadishu (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073002705 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073002705 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073002705 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073002705 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.