Coronado Eviction Risk: Elevated

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.