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Census Tract · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06073019203 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,842 · 60% of tract blocks fall in Vista

Census tract 06073019203 covers part of Vista, CA, and scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 15% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units838
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$138,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 21 tracts In Vista
Very Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#615 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#6,743 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#17,132 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vista and the region

Centroid at 33.2377, -117.2361 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vista scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$3,102 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vista
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vista
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vista
6.5

How Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 019203Vista: 7.57.5Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vista

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. At $3,102 a month, rents run 38% over what the rest of Vista commands. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

It sits 1.4 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.

The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $138,000.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073019203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073019203?

Census tract 06073019203 in Vista scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073019203?

Median gross rent is $3,102/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073019203?

5.5% of residents in tract 06073019203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,842.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073019203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 13th, minority 65th, housing 83th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06073019203 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06073019203 compare to Vista overall?

Tract 06073019203 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Vista at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vista; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vista

Top eight tracts in Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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