Little Baghdad Eviction Risk: High

36% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. SNAP participation is 31.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity affects 28.0% of adults, 10.2 points above the national rate. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of El Cajon, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Bostonia and Cajon Heights score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 7 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.