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Neighborhood · El Cajon, CA

Bostonia Eviction Risk: High

7 census tracts · pop 39,465 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.9/10 · range 7.4–9.3

Bostonia takes in 7 census tracts of El Cajon, CA and houses 39,465 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.9/10, in the High tier. 39% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs 64% against 42.3% citywide, putting Bostonia 21.7% over its own city. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $66,284 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.4 to 9.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation is 27.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of El Cajon, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Cajon Heights and Little Baghdad score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,840, close to the El Cajon average.

64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.9
High
7 tracts · population-weighted
Bostonia vs El Cajon How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.0% +51%
El Cajon: 42.3%
Average gross rent
$1,840 -1%
El Cajon: $1,856
Average HH income
$66,284 0%
El Cajon: $66,478
Poverty rate
22.8% +14%
El Cajon: 20.0%
Renter share
64.2% +10%
El Cajon: 58.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bostonia and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 7.4–9.3

Why Bostonia scores 8.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 9.1–9.2 across tracts
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.2–6.4 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 9.5–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.5 across tracts
8.3
Economic stress
22.8% below poverty line · Range 1.9–9.1 across tracts
5.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.1 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Bostonia vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bostonia score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bostonia: 8.98.9BostoniaNeighborhoodParent city: 7.97.9Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Bostonia?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 7.4 to 9.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in Bostonia

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073016502 9.3 8,159 66% $1,759
06073016504 9.3 6,729 73% $1,920
06073015701 9.3 6,486 70% $1,689
06073016302 9.3 5,918 63% $1,825
06073016404 9.3 3,790 59% $1,598
06073016503 7.7 2,944 44% $2,327
06073016401 7.4 5,439 57% $1,964
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bostonia

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bostonia

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bostonia?

Bostonia scores 8.9/10 (High tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bostonia compare to El Cajon overall?

Bostonia scores 1.0 points higher than El Cajon overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,840 vs $1,856.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bostonia?

Average gross rent in Bostonia is $1,840/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bostonia residents are renters?

64% of Bostonia households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in El Cajon). The neighborhood has 39,465 residents.
Q5

Is Bostonia a high social-vulnerability area?

Bostonia sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bostonia have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bostonia is census tract 06073016502 (score 9.3/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 9.3, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Bostonia for landlords?

Bostonia carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.9/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to El Cajon as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bostonia?

Bostonia has 39,350 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.7%), Hispanic / Latino (29.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bostonia

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside El Cajon

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bostonia.

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