4 census tracts · pop 18,339 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.6/10
· range 7.4–9.3
Cajon Heights is a 4-tract neighborhood of El Cajon, CA, population 18,339. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.6/10, in the High tier. Severe burden reaches 51%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Against a El Cajon baseline of 42.3%, 67% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.3/10.
The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 7.4 to 9.3, a 1.9-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. SNAP participation is 28.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity affects 26.0% of adults, 8.2 points above the national rate. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of El Cajon, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third.
Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,804, close to the El Cajon average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $75,068.
55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
8.6
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Cajon Heights vs El CajonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cajon Heights
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
20.8%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility shutoff threat
25.5%Food insecurity
27.5%SNAP enrollment
12.2%No health insurance
34.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Cajon Heights
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Cajon Heights?
Cajon Heights scores 8.6/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Cajon Heights compare to El Cajon overall?
Cajon Heights scores 0.7 points higher than El Cajon overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 67% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,804 vs $1,856.
Q3
What is the average rent in Cajon Heights?
Average gross rent in Cajon Heights is $1,804/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Cajon Heights residents are renters?
55% of Cajon Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in El Cajon). The neighborhood has 18,339 residents.
Q5
Is Cajon Heights a high social-vulnerability area?
Cajon Heights sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Cajon Heights have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Cajon Heights is census tract 06073015902 (score 9.3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 9.3, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Cajon Heights for landlords?
Cajon Heights carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to El Cajon as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Cajon Heights?
Cajon Heights has 17,963 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.8%), Hispanic / Latino (33.9%), Other / Multiracial (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
