Little Baghdad Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon
Tract 06073015407 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,869 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06073015407 (the Little Baghdad neighborhood of El Cajon, California) comes in at 6.6/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 76% of renter households, a severe level, and 54% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,895 a month while the average household earns $46,267 a year, roughly 49% of income at the averages. Renters make up 81% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.7840, -116.9482 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Baghdad scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Little Baghdad compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Baghdad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.4%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.2%Food insecurity
- 34.2%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 22.9%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Little Baghdad
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from El Cajon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Diego County average of 5.8 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 21.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 06073015407
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015407?
What is the average rent in tract 06073015407?
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015407?
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015407?
Is tract 06073015407 considered part of Little Baghdad?
What share of households in tract 06073015407 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 06073015407 compare to El Cajon overall?
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.