Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
Grossmont Eviction Risk: High , La Mesa
Tract 06073015002 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,663 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 06073015002 covers part of the Grossmont area of La Mesa, CA, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,663. 83% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 78%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,207
Renter share94.6%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$59,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across La Mesa and the region
Centroid at 32.7807, -117.0066 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grossmont scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from La Mesa
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$2,384 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from La Mesa
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from La Mesa
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from La Mesa
7.1
How Grossmont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grossmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.8%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 22.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 20.8%Frequent mental distress
- 32.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grossmont
The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $59,313 and the ratio lands at 48%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. 95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
It sits 1.5 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Average gross rent is $2,384, 16% above the La Mesa average. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.
SNAP participation runs 22.2% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #3,797 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073015002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073015002?
Census tract 06073015002 in the Grossmont neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073015002?
Median gross rent is $2,384/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073015002?
18.2% of residents in tract 06073015002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,663.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073015002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 38th, minority 76th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 06073015002 considered part of Grossmont?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073015002 fall within Grossmont (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073015002 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073015002 compare to La Mesa overall?
Tract 06073015002 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of La Mesa at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from La Mesa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in La Mesa
Top eight tracts in La Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06073014806
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Grossmont
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
06073014601
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
06073014803
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Rolando Park
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06073014901
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06073014805
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06073014804
7.9
/ 10 · High
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