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Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

San Marcos Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06073020021 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,554

Eviction risk in San Marcos centers on tract 06073020021, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,554 residents. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,685 monthly, set against $83,706 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 22% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,637
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$83,706

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 20 tracts In San Marcos
Elevated
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#354 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5,204 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 33.1512, -117.1774 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Marcos scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,685 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
6.9

How San Marcos compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Marcos risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 020021San Marcos: 8.08.0San Marcosparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Marcos

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Marcos, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020021

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020021?

Census tract 06073020021 in San Marcos scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073020021?

Median gross rent is $1,685/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020021?

10.4% of residents in tract 06073020021 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,554.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020021?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 76th, minority 81th, housing 46th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06073020021 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06073020021 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 06073020021 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Marcos at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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