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Census Tract · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

San Marcos Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06073020029 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,059

With a score of 8.4/10, tract 06073020029 in San Marcos, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,059. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 28% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units2,547
Renter share82.5%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$71,301

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 20 tracts In San Marcos
High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#241 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,744 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,730 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 33.1392, -117.1895 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Marcos scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$2,140 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
6.9

How San Marcos compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Marcos risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.48.4This tracttract 020029San Marcos: 7.07.0San Marcosparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Marcos

Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 52.5% across San Diego County. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $71,301 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. SNAP participation runs 27.1% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 27.4% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.8 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.

Average gross rent is $2,140, 9% below the San Marcos average. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020029

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020029?

Census tract 06073020029 in San Marcos scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073020029?

Median gross rent is $2,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020029?

20.8% of residents in tract 06073020029 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,059.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020029?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 63th, minority 78th, housing 100th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06073020029 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06073020029 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 06073020029 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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