San Marcos Eviction Risk: High

This is renter territory: 91% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $58,147, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,737, 26% below the San Marcos average. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.