Duboce Triangle Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened. Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $248,571, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.