Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Duboce Triangle Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075020801 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,743 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 06075020801 covers part of the Duboce Triangle area of San Francisco, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,743 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 62% Owners 17%

Tract context

Occupied units1,519

Renter share83.0%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate7.6%

Median income$103,997

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7578, -122.4190 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duboce Triangle scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.6% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,454 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Duboce Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

49%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
24%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Duboce Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.8%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
16.8%Food insecurity
13.6%SNAP enrollment
9.0%Transit barriers
11.0%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duboce Triangle

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Average gross rent is $1,454, 41% below the San Francisco average. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the San Francisco County average of 37.3%.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $103,997, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075020801

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075020801?

Census tract 06075020801 in the Duboce Triangle neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075020801?

Median gross rent is $1,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075020801?

7.6% of residents in tract 06075020801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,743.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075020801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 13th, minority 80th, housing 94th.

Is tract 06075020801 considered part of Duboce Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075020801 fall within Duboce Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075020801 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075020801 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075020801 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075020801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.