Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Nob Hill Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco
Tract 06075012204 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,720 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 06075012204 covers part of the Lower Nob Hill area of San Francisco, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,720 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 54%
Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,566
Renter share86.0%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$65,217
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Francisco and the region
Centroid at 37.7860, -122.4155 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Nob Hill scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,604 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5
How Lower Nob Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Nob Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.0%Food insecurity
- 17.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Nob Hill
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.
This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. At $1,604 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
37% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $65,217.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06075012204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075012204?
Census tract 06075012204 in the Lower Nob Hill neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06075012204?
Median gross rent is $1,604/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06075012204?
11.8% of residents in tract 06075012204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,720.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06075012204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 20th, minority 74th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 06075012204 considered part of Lower Nob Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075012204 fall within Lower Nob Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06075012204 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06075012204 compare to San Francisco overall?
Tract 06075012204 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco
Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Telegraph Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Lower Nob Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
West SoMa
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Outer Mission
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Parkmerced
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Duboce Triangle
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Potrero Terrace
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Chinatown
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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