Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Laurel Heights Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075015401 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,338 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 8.9/10, tract 06075015401 in the Laurel Heights area of San Francisco, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,338 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

8.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 47% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,632

Renter share65.8%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate4.7%

Median income$173,409

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7833, -122.4507 · click any tract to drill in

Why Laurel Heights scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.7% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$2,812 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Laurel Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
38%Grade C
22%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Laurel Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.7%Housing insecurity
3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
5.6%Food insecurity
4.0%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
3.2%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
18.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Laurel Heights

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the San Francisco County average of 37.3%.

SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 5.7% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,812, 14% above the San Francisco average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075015401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075015401?

Census tract 06075015401 in the Laurel Heights neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075015401?

Median gross rent is $2,812/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075015401?

4.7% of residents in tract 06075015401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,338.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075015401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 3th, minority 69th, housing 80th.

Is tract 06075015401 considered part of Laurel Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075015401 fall within Laurel Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075015401 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075015401 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075015401 scores 8.9/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075015401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.