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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Hayes Valley Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075016300 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,942 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

06075016300 is a census tract in the Hayes Valley area of San Francisco, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,942 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 51% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,944
Renter share85.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$101,964

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Hayes Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7760, -122.4296 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hayes Valley scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,204 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Hayes Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hayes Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0163009.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hayes Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hayes Valley

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 85% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally.

At $2,204 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $101,964.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075016300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075016300?

Census tract 06075016300 in the Hayes Valley neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075016300?

Median gross rent is $2,204/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075016300?

12.8% of residents in tract 06075016300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,942.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075016300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 2th, minority 62th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 06075016300 considered part of Hayes Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075016300 fall within Hayes Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075016300 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075016300 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075016300 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06075016300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 71% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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