Little Saigon Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Average gross rent is $573, 77% below the San Francisco average. Food insecurity runs 43.4% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.