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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Parkmerced Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075033201 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,730 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 06075033201 covers part of the Parkmerced area of San Francisco, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,730. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 47% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units595
Renter share99.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate43.7%
Median income$68,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Parkmerced
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#97 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7264, -122.4798 · click any tract to drill in

Why Parkmerced scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
43.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$2,589 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Parkmerced compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Parkmerced risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0332019.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Parkmerced. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Parkmerced

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. The poverty rate is 44%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $68,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 26.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 24.1% against 15.2% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Average gross rent is $2,589, close to the San Francisco average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075033201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075033201?

Census tract 06075033201 in the Parkmerced neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075033201?

Median gross rent is $2,589/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075033201?

43.7% of residents in tract 06075033201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,730.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075033201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 6th, minority 81th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 06075033201 considered part of Parkmerced?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075033201 fall within Parkmerced (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075033201 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075033201 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075033201 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06075033201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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